Attack vs defence overperformance
Each dot is a team. Right = scoring more than xG suggests. Up = conceding less than xGA suggests. Top-right teams are running hot at both ends; bottom-left teams are due an upturn.
Points: actual minus expected
Positive bars = collecting more points than the underlying numbers say they should. Negative = the table is flattering them.
Full breakdown
Click a column to sort. xPTS, xG and xGA are the season totals from the model; Diff is actual minus expected (for goals conceded, positive means fewer conceded than expected).
| Team | GP | Pts | xPTS | Diff | GF | xGF | Diff | GA | xGA | Diff |
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Big chances created & conceded
Season totals and per-game rates for big chances (clear-cut opportunities), for and against. Click a column to sort. This is a chance-volume view rather than a quality-adjusted one, so it's worth reading alongside the xG diff above rather than instead of it — a team can create lots of big chances and still waste them (see their GF/xG diff).
| Team | GP | BC For | BC For/Gm | BC Against | BC Ag/Gm | Diff |
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